And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). Special elections, if any, are excluded. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. The 2020 election has caused anxiety among Americans to remain high as some states are still counting ballots. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. Which ones are more politically competitive? The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. List Of Blue States And Red States In The United States (2023), List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF, Presidents Of The United States Of America In Chronological Order, Who Is The Secretary Of Defense In The United States, List Of US Senators State Wise (2023 Updated), List Of Airports In The US (United States) With IATA & ICAO, Secretary General Of The United Nations (2023 Updated), 250+ Measuring Devices And Instruments (2023 Updated), List Of All Social Networking Sites And Their Founders (2023), List Of All Commercial Airports In India (2023 Updated), List Of Prime Minister Of Italy (2023 Updated). Support local journalism. So how does all that look visually? The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Gov. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Updates about tonight's races in Pennsylvania. Georgia: Red, blue or purple? Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. [30] It attempts to represent the margin of victory in each county by coloring each with a shade between true blue and true red. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Not one! Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. The. Quickly thereafter, the term Purple America entered the public lexicon as a way of stating that the United States is not as divided as the political pundits would have the people believe. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. But Pennsylvania is now red. In the 2008 election, most voters in most rural counties voted for Republican John McCain. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. You have entered an incorrect email address! Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. Electoral law in Maine and Nebraska makes it possible for those states to divide their electoral votes: winner-take-all both by congressional district and statewide. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. The demographic and political applications of the terms have resulted in a temptation to presume this arbitrary classification is a definite and fundamental cultural division. If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. You have to beware with these reports, though. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. . ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. [1] According to The Washington Post, journalist Tim Russert invented these terms during his televised coverage of the 2000 United States presidential election. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Sorry Marc. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Use arrow keys to move around the map. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. The Hill . For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Explained! They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Not one! It feels like the new Florida. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. Trump's New Math: Inside the Plan to Flip Blue States in 2020. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. VOA explains. An example of data being processed may be a unique identifier stored in a cookie. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. What determines a state's "color"? Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? They had ads, social media, conference calls, press releases, you name it on, all on fracking. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. It is not a red state. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Former Governor Ed Rendell gives his take. I don't know where to begin! Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. (PA, GA, MI)". Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. [41][note 1][42]. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. 30,000+ mail ballots a teeny tiny fraction of the 2.5 million received as of this morning in the state were just reported in Pennsylvania. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. And this basic arithmetic is in place even before voters factor in the disgraceful fact that VP candidate Kamala Harris is a self-admitted BLM-backed Marxist. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Map of election results. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Here's the count: 2020: While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. Tennessee. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The map was placed in the network's election-night news studio. Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. #V. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. But. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. An email has been sent to with a link to confirm list signup. - Matter of Fact with Soledad O'Brien Perhaps no one is better at understanding Pennsylvania voters than former Governor Ed Rendell. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Blue States No. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. All 50 States of the United States of America contain both Democratic and Republican voters but only Blue or Red colors appear on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Dec. 10, 2020. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. If . In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. Hi everyone from D.C.! On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Holly Trump's team really focused on Biden's fracking comments for the last couple weeks, convinced that they could make all the difference in Pennsylvania. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. Press Enter to view state-level map. It is not a red state. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. FiveThirtyEight's forecast currently expects these states to step slightly to the left in 2020, but there's a lot of uncertainty here, especially in a state like Maine where the error bars. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Idaho. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. Electoral votes invalidated. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism.
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